Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000577 0.000659 0.000745 0.000843 0.000951 0.001066 0.001198
2025-10-26 0.000447 0.000557 0.000683 0.000836 0.001014 0.001216 0.001459
2025-11-02 0.000382 0.000507 0.000655 0.000842 0.001070 0.001336 0.001668
2025-11-09 0.000330 0.000462 0.000626 0.000841 0.001112 0.001437 0.001855
2025-11-16 0.000278 0.000411 0.000583 0.000815 0.001116 0.001489 0.001977
2025-11-23 0.000239 0.000371 0.000548 0.000795 0.001125 0.001542 0.002101
2025-11-30 0.000212 0.000345 0.000528 0.000791 0.001151 0.001616 0.002251
2025-12-07 0.000189 0.000322 0.000511 0.000789 0.001178 0.001690 0.002402
2025-12-14 0.000167 0.000298 0.000489 0.000779 0.001192 0.001747 0.002529
2025-12-21 0.000148 0.000275 0.000467 0.000765 0.001200 0.001793 0.002642
2025-12-28 0.000139 0.000268 0.000468 0.000785 0.001255 0.001905 0.002847
2026-01-04 0.000129 0.000258 0.000464 0.000796 0.001298 0.002000 0.003031
2026-01-11 0.000116 0.000242 0.000448 0.000789 0.001313 0.002060 0.003168
2026-01-18 0.000103 0.000226 0.000432 0.000781 0.001326 0.002115 0.003300
2026-01-25 0.000095 0.000216 0.000426 0.000787 0.001362 0.002202 0.003479
2026-02-01 0.000087 0.000205 0.000416 0.000786 0.001385 0.002272 0.003635
2026-02-08 0.000075 0.000187 0.000392 0.000762 0.001370 0.002284 0.003705
2026-02-15 0.000066 0.000172 0.000373 0.000743 0.001363 0.002307 0.003793
2026-02-22 0.000060 0.000163 0.000363 0.000739 0.001379 0.002366 0.003933
2026-03-01 0.000055 0.000155 0.000354 0.000737 0.001398 0.002429 0.004080
2026-03-08 0.000049 0.000145 0.000342 0.000727 0.001403 0.002469 0.004195
2026-03-15 0.000043 0.000135 0.000328 0.000714 0.001402 0.002500 0.004294
2026-03-22 0.000042 0.000133 0.000332 0.000733 0.001455 0.002618 0.004530